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loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-4938\" src=\"https:\/\/www.loyalizegroup.com.au\/cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/2-3-300x202.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"202\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.loyalizegroup.com.au\/cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/2-3-300x202.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.loyalizegroup.com.au\/cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/2-3.jpg 550w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6fb3\u6d32\u5ba1\u614e\u76d1\u7ba1\u5c40\u653e\u5bbd\u8d37\u6b3e\u89c4\u5b9a<\/strong> 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Byres\u8868\u793a\uff0c2014\u5e74\u5236\u5b9a\u7684\u89c4\u5b9a\u5c31\u73b0\u5728\u800c\u8a00\u201c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5fc5\u8981\u6c34\u5e73\u201d\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\u76d1\u7ba1\u5c40\u5b9e\u884c\u8be5\u89c4\u5b9a\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u6291\u5236\u623f\u4ef7\u66b4\u6da8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u4ed6\u4e5f\u540c\u65f6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u98ce\u9669\u56e0\u7d20\u4f9d\u7136\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u94f6\u884c\u4e0d\u5e94\u8be5\u5c06\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u201c\u653e\u5bbd\u201d\u770b\u4f5c\u662f\u8fdb\u5165\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u7684\u201c\u53ef\u4ee5\u7ed9\u6240\u6709\u4eba\uff08\u8d37\u6b3e\uff09\u201d\u7684\u65f6\u4ee3\u7684\u6807\u5fd7\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-4939\" src=\"https:\/\/www.loyalizegroup.com.au\/cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/3-1-300x200.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.loyalizegroup.com.au\/cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/3-1-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.loyalizegroup.com.au\/cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/3-1.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5c06\u5728\u4e0b\u5468\u91cd\u542f\u8d38\u6613\u8c08\u5224<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u9ad8\u7ea7\u5b98\u5458\u4e0b\u5468\u5c06\u8bbf\u95ee\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u4ee5\u6c42\u91cd\u542f\u65e8\u5728\u89e3\u51b3\u5168\u7403\u4e24\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u4e4b\u95f4\u8d38\u6613\u4e89\u7aef\u7684\u8c08\u5224\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u767d\u5bab\u5468\u4e09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d38\u6613\u4ee3\u8868\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u2022\u83b1\u7279\u5e0c\u6cfd(Robert Lighthizer)\u548c\u8d22\u653f\u90e8\u957f\u53f2\u8482\u6587\u2022\u59c6\u52aa\u94a6(Steven Mnuchin)\u5c06\u524d\u5f80\u4e0a\u6d77\uff0c\u5e76\u4ece7\u670830\u65e5\u5f00\u59cb\u6062\u590d\u8c08\u5224\u3002\u767d\u5bab\u5728\u4e00\u4efd\u58f0\u660e\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u526f\u603b\u7406\u5218\u9e64\u5c06\u7387\u9886\u4e2d\u56fd\u8c08\u5224\u4ee3\u8868\u56e2\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4eba\u4eec\u666e\u904d\u9884\u8ba1\u534e\u76db\u987f\u548c\u5317\u4eac\u4e4b\u95f4\u5c06\u6062\u590d\u9762\u5bf9\u9762\u8c08\u5224\u3002\u56e0\u4e3a\u6b64\u524d\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u2022\u7279\u6717\u666e(Donald 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\/><\/p>\n<p><strong>IMF<\/strong><strong>\u518d\u5ea6\u4e0b\u8c03\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u6fb3\u5143\u8dcc\u7834<\/strong><strong>0.70<\/strong><strong>\u5173\u53e3<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u5468\u4e09\uff087\u670824\u65e5\uff09\uff0c\u4e9a\u6d32\u4ea4\u6613\u65f6\u6bb5\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u518d\u521b6\u670818\u65e5\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u65b0\u9ad897.76\uff0c\u975e\u7f8e\u8d27\u5e01\u6709\u6240\u8d70\u4f4e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5219\u521b6\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u65b0\u4f4e\uff0c\u56e0\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u5468\u56db\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7684\u9e3d\u6d3e\u9884\u671f\u6301\u7eed\u53d1\u9175\u3002\u82f1\u9551\u6709\u6240\u4f01\u7a33\uff0c\u65b0\u9996\u76f8\u7ea6\u7ff0\u900a\u6b63\u786e\u5b9a\u65b0\u5185\u9601\u6210\u5458\u3002IMF\u4e0b\u8c03\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c55\u671b\u540e\uff0c\u5546\u54c1\u8d27\u5e01\u4e5f\u8868\u73b0\u5f31\u52bf\uff0c\u6fb3\u5143\u521b\u516b\u65e5\u65b0\u4f4e\uff0c\u9886\u8dcc\u5546\u54c1\u8d27\u5e01\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u7b49\u5f85\u7a0d\u540e\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u591a\u56fd\u7684\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u6216\u5e26\u6765\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5982\u4f55\u884c\u52a8\u7684\u9884\u671f\u3002\u53e6\u5916\u7f8e\u6cb9\u4f01\u7a33\u4e8e\u4e00\u5468\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fdAPI\u539f\u6cb9\u5e93\u5b58\u5927\u964d\u63d0\u632f\u4e86\u6cb9\u4ef7\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u5168\u7403\u80a1\u5e02\u8d70\u9ad8\u53ca\u7f8e\u5143\u5f3a\u52bf\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u5e02\u573a\u5e76\u672a\u8fc7\u4e8e\u5f31\u52bf\uff0c\u4f01\u7a33\u4e8e1420\u4e4b\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e9a\u76d8\u65f6\u6bb5\uff0c\u6fb3\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u56db\u8fde\u8dcc\uff0c\u6c47\u4ef7\u62a50.6980\uff0c\u65e5\u5185\u8dcc\u5e450.36%\u3002\u6fb3\u5143\u521b\u4e00\u5468\u534a\u65b0\u4f4e\uff0c\u56e0\u7f8e\u5143\u5f3a\u52bf\u4ee5\u53ca\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u73af\u5883\u4ecd\u672a\u6709\u592a\u591a\u597d\u8f6c\uff0cIMF\u518d\u6b21\u8c03\u964d\u4e86\u5bf92019\u5e74\u548c2020\u5e74\u4e16\u754c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u9884\u8ba12019\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f3.2%\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u65b0\u5174\u5e02\u573a\u548c\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\uff0cIMF\u9884\u8ba12019\u5e74\u589e\u957f4.1%\u3002\u4e0e4\u6708\u76f8\u6bd4\u5206\u522b\u4e0b\u8c030.3\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002IMF\u79f0\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e3b\u8981\u6e90\u4e8e\u5173\u7a0e\u5bf9\u8d38\u6613\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-4941\" src=\"https:\/\/www.loyalizegroup.com.au\/cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/5-2-300x126.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"126\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.loyalizegroup.com.au\/cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/5-2-300x126.png 300w, https:\/\/www.loyalizegroup.com.au\/cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/5-2-768x321.png 768w, https:\/\/www.loyalizegroup.com.au\/cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/5-2-1024x428.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.loyalizegroup.com.au\/cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/5-2.png 1164w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u4fe1\u606f\u6765\u6e90\uff1aCoreLogic, FT Times, Reuters, AFN Daily, Dailyfx<\/p>\n<p>\u514d\u8d23\u58f0\u660e\uff1a 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